Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5?
Closes April 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$63K
Liquidity
$51K
Bid / Ask
0% / 1%
Spread
0.70pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $63K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786355
This event has 13 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?: 16%, Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?: 11%, Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?: 4%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~61%.
Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
4% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Current
1% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this