Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?
Closes April 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$38K
Liquidity
$34K
Bid / Ask
5% / 7%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $38K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786348
This event has 13 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?: 71%, Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?: 36%, Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?: 25%.
Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
13% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Trough probability
5% YES — lowest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: +5.5pp
13% → 19%
Mar 31, 2026
Peak probability
19% YES — highest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Current
6% YES (+1.5pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this