ForecastMind
Markets/Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 30?
Share on X

Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 30?

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

36%YES
64%NO

Volume 24h

$16K

Liquidity

$8K

Bid / Ask

37% / 43%

Spread

6.00pp

Expert Signal

37%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?

March

Full event →
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 30?
100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5?
86%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2
76%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?
52%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 30?
39%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?
30%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 30?
8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?
8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5?
4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 30?
3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?
3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on March 30?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on March 30?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on March 30?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?
0%

22 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+16.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

22% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Trough probability

12% YES — lowest in period

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: +23.0pp

15% → 38%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

38% YES (+23.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 36%99%
Buy YES@ 36¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 64¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 30?" at 36% YES / 64% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 37%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 36%, NO 64%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786330

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.