ForecastMind
Markets/Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5?
Share on X

Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5?

Closes April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

85%YES
15%NO

Volume 24h

$9K

Liquidity

$30K

Bid / Ask

77% / 78%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

76%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?

March

Full event →
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5?
76%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 30?
76%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2
51%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?
43%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?
24%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 30?
17%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?
7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5?
4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 30?
2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 30?
2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?
2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on March 30?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on March 30?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on March 30?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?
0%

22 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+8.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

67% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: +6.5pp

65% → 71%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

75% YES (+4.5pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 85%99%
Buy YES@ 85¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 15¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5?" at 85% YES / 15% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 76%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 85%, NO 15%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786331

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.