Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 31?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$11K
Bid / Ask
10% / 12%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
12%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 31?" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1800059
This event has 39 active outcome markets. December 31, 2026: 61%, Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?: 40%, Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 31?: 30%.
Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 31?
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
9% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Current
7% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this