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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?

Closes April 8, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
97%FIS
+2ppvs market 95%
underpriced

ForecastMind sees this +2.1pp above current market price; market at 95% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.4% ↑, ETH +1.9% ↑, S&P +0.6% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC +1.4% ↑, ETH +1.9% ↑, S&P +0.6% ↑
+2.1pp
Live compute08:49 PM

Polymarket Price

95%YES
5%NO

Volume 24h

$22K

Liquidity

$28K

Bid / Ask

95% / 96%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

95%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?" at 95% YES / 5% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 95%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 95%, NO 5%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817380

Outcome Markets32 markets

This event has 32 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 6?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 6?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 6?: 100%.

price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?

95%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.5pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 95%99%
Buy YES@ 95¢

-0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 5¢
Edge

+3.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.2%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO+3.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this