Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?
Closes April 8, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +2.1pp above current market price; market at 15% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.4% ↑, ETH +1.9% ↑, S&P +0.6% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$26K
Bid / Ask
16% / 18%
Spread
1.20pp
Expert Signal
15%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?" at 15% YES / 85% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 15%. The bid-ask spread is 1.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 15%, NO 85%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817387
This event has 32 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 6?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 6?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 6?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-1.6%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this