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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7?

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

8%YES
92%NO

Volume 24h

$22K

Liquidity

$14K

Bid / Ask

8% / 8%

Spread

0.60pp

Expert Signal

8%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7?" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808037

Outcome Markets27 markets

This event has 27 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 6?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 6?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 6?: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.4pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 8%99%
Buy YES@ 8¢

-2.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 92¢
Edge

+0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.4%
½ Kelly1.2%
Buy NO+0.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this