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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6?

Closes April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$22K

Bid / Ask

1% / 1%

Spread

0.20pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+66.7pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1792526

Outcome Markets35 markets

This event has 35 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 4?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 4?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 4?: 100%.

price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6?

1%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

1% YES

Apr 4, 2026

Current

1% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

-16.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢
Edge

+0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly16.7%
½ Kelly8.3%
Buy NO+0.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 16.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this