Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 5?
Closes April 5, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$13K
Liquidity
$32K
Bid / Ask
99% / 99%
Spread
0.20pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 5?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1777585
This event has 63 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 3?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 5?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
88% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Biggest move: -5.5pp
90% → 85%
Mar 31, 2026
Peak probability
99% YES — highest in period
Apr 3, 2026
Current
99% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this