Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5?
Closes April 5, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$45K
Liquidity
$23K
Bid / Ask
97% / 98%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
96%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5?" at 96% YES / 4% NO. In the last 24 hours, $45K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 96%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 96%, NO 4%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1777589
This event has 63 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 3?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
74% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Biggest move: -14.5pp
92% → 78%
Apr 2, 2026
Peak probability
97% YES — highest in period
Apr 3, 2026
Current
96% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this