Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?
Closes April 7, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.2% ↓, ETH +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$22K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
30% / 32%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
31%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 31%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808035
This event has 27 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 6?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 6?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 6?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this