Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on April 2?
Closes April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$36K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
1% / 1%
Spread
0.70pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on April 2?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $36K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823962
This event has 27 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 2?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 3?: 100%.
Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on April 2?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Current
1% YES (-0.2pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+11.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this