Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?
Closes April 14, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -7.3pp below current market price; market at 28% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -3.2% ↓, ETH -4.1% ↓, S&P -1.3% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
26% / 28%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
28%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1908728
This event has 25 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 13: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 13: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 14: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-1.8%
EV per $ wagered
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this