Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13?
Closes April 13, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -6.0pp below current market price; market at 95% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -1.9% ↓, ETH -2.9% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$44K
Liquidity
$32K
Bid / Ask
94% / 95%
Spread
0.80pp
Expert Signal
95%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13?" at 95% YES / 5% NO. In the last 24 hours, $44K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 95%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 95%, NO 5%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1891969
This event has 25 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 12: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 12: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 13: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
99% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
95% YES (+0.8pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
-5.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this