Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12?
Closes April 12, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +5.3pp above current market price; market at 76% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.7% ↑, ETH +2.7% ↑, S&P -0.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
74% / 76%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
76%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12?" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 76%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1879422
This event has 38 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 10: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-2.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this