Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10?
Closes April 10, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.4% ↓, ETH +0.3% ↑, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$13K
Liquidity
$25K
Bid / Ask
44% / 45%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
46%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10?" at 46% YES / 54% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 46%, NO 54%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1846090
This event has 35 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 8?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 8?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 8?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this