Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?
Closes April 9, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -3.5pp below current market price; market at 6% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -1.1% ↓, ETH -1.4% ↓, S&P -0.3% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$14K
Liquidity
$25K
Bid / Ask
5% / 6%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $14K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831449
This event has 38 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 7?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 7?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 7?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+9.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this