Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 8?
Closes April 8, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$81K
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
1% / 2%
Spread
0.80pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 8?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $81K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817351
This event has 35 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 8?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 8?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 8?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
4% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 8, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-9.1%
EV per $ wagered
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this