Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10?
Closes April 10, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.4% ↓, ETH +0.3% ↑, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$27K
Bid / Ask
17% / 18%
Spread
1.20pp
Expert Signal
19%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10?" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 1.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1846092
This event has 35 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 8?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 8?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 8?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this