Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 10?
Closes April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$15K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
1% / 2%
Spread
0.80pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 10?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1933599
This event has 38 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 10: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10: 100%.
Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 10?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Current
2% YES (-0.3pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+17.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this