Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
FM Estimate
4%Market Price
6%This event has 10 active outcome markets. April 30, 2026: 84%, April 30: 82%, April 30: 77%.
Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by Apr
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?" at 11% YES / 89% NO. In the last 24 hours, $62K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 1.40pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 11%, NO 89%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1986537