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Markets/Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
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Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

91%YES
9%NO
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$14K
Bid / Ask81% / 82%
Spread1.00pp
ClosesApr 30, 2026

FM Estimate

81%

Market Price

82%
↑ Overpriced 0.6pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
Macro fundamentals-0.1pp
low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

+3.5pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?" at 91% YES / 9% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 82%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 91%, NO 9%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1986541