Market Closed
This market has resolved. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
FM Estimate
31%Market Price
34%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 11 active outcome markets. April 30, 2026: 84%, April 30: 82%, April 30: 80%.
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?" at 26% YES / 74% NO. In the last 24 hours, $883K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 25%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on April 21, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-21). "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 26%, NO 74%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2002698