Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$60
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
30% / 34%
Spread
4.10pp
Expert Signal
32%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?" at 32% YES / 68% NO. In the last 24 hours, $60 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 32%. The bid-ask spread is 4.10 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 32%, NO 68%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/678776
This event has 24 active outcome markets. June 30, 2026: 52%, May 31, 2026: 37%, US strike 7 countries in 2026?: 32%.
US strike 7 countries in 2026?
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✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this