Markets/Cerebras IPO before 2027?

Cerebras IPO before 2027?

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 01:59 AM UTC

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

92%YES

8%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$7K

Bid / Ask

92% / 92%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

92%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+6.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

86% YES

Feb 28, 2026

Biggest move: -10.0pp

93% → 83%

Mar 22, 2026

Peak probability

98% YES — highest in period

Mar 18, 2026

Current

92% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 92%99%

Buy YES@ 92¢

Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%

½ Kelly0.3%

Buy NO@ 8¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Cerebras IPO before 2027?" at 92% YES / 8% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 92%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Cerebras IPO before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 92%, NO 8%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/676780