Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$16K
Liquidity
$50K
Bid / Ask
37% / 39%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
38% YES
Mar 21, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Mar 22, 2026
Biggest move: -37.5pp
38% → 0%
Mar 22, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner" at 36% YES / 64% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 36%, NO 64%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1674397
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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