ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner
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LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

37%YES
64%NO

Volume 24h

$12K

Liquidity

$47K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

38% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Current

37% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 37%99%
Buy YES@ 37¢
Edge

+1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 64¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner" at 37% YES / 63% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 37%, NO 63%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1674399