ForecastMind
Markets/LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner
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LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner

Closes March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

36%YES
64%NO

Volume 24h

$26K

Liquidity

$50K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-7.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

43% YES

Mar 21, 2026

Biggest move: -8.0pp

44% → 36%

Mar 22, 2026

Current

36% YES (-8.0pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 36%99%
Buy YES@ 36¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 64¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner" at 36% YES / 64% NO. In the last 24 hours, $26K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 36%, NO 64%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1674401