Marcus Smart: Points O/U 8.5
Closes March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$4K
Bid / Ask
24% / 32%
Spread
8.00pp
Expert Signal
28%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Marcus Smart: Points O/U 8.5
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
25% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Current
28% YES (+4.0pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Marcus Smart: Points O/U 8.5" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 8.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Marcus Smart: Points O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688513
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