Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
Closed March 27, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$446K
Liquidity
$26K
Bid / Ask
73% / 76%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
65%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
9 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
47% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Trough probability
32% YES — lowest in period
Mar 28, 2026
Biggest move: -17.0pp
49% → 32%
Mar 28, 2026
Current
41% YES (+9.0pp recent)
Mar 28, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Celtics (-5.5)" at 65% YES / 35% NO. In the last 24 hours, $446K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 65%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Spread: Celtics (-5.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 65%, NO 35%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1734955
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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Full price history for your own analysis.