ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Clippers (-14.5)
Share on X

Spread: Clippers (-14.5)

Closed March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

95%YES
6%NO

Volume 24h

$494K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

64% / 69%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

73%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: Clippers (-13.5)

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-8.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

48% YES

Mar 24, 2026

Biggest move: -8.5pp

48% → 40%

Mar 24, 2026

Current

40% YES (-8.5pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 95%99%
Buy YES@ 95¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly9.1%
½ Kelly4.5%
Buy NO@ 6¢

-9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 9.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Clippers (-14.5)" at 95% YES / 5% NO. In the last 24 hours, $494K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 73%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Spread: Clippers (-14.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 95%, NO 5%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1697211