ForecastMind
Markets/Spread: Knicks (-19.5)
Share on X

Spread: Knicks (-19.5)

Closes March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

57%YES
43%NO

Volume 24h

$398K

Liquidity

$31K

Bid / Ask

56% / 57%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

57%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: Knicks (-19.5)

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Current

56% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 57%99%
Buy YES@ 57¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 43¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Knicks (-19.5)" at 57% YES / 43% NO. In the last 24 hours, $398K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 57%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Spread: Knicks (-19.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 57%, NO 43%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1677952