Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
Closed March 26, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.1M
Liquidity
$262
Bid / Ask
45% / 48%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
46%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Trough probability
43% YES — lowest in period
Mar 26, 2026
Current
48% YES (+3.0pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Pistons (-5.5)" at 46% YES / 54% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.1M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Spread: Pistons (-5.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 46%, NO 54%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1723949
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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