ForecastMind
Markets/Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 240.5
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Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 240.5

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

56%YES
44%NO

Volume 24h

$102K

Liquidity

$23K

Bid / Ask

56% / 57%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

59%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spurs vs. Heat

Full event →

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+8.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: +8.0pp

51% → 59%

Mar 23, 2026

Current

59% YES (+8.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 56%99%
Buy YES@ 56¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 44¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 240.5" at 56% YES / 44% NO. In the last 24 hours, $102K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 59%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 240.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 56%, NO 44%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1686699