ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Share on X

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

22%YES
79%NO

Volume 24h

$1.1M

Liquidity

$105K

Bid / Ask

14% / 16%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

22%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

25% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Current

25% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 22%99%
Buy YES@ 22¢
Edge

+2.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 79¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+2.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets" at 22% YES / 78% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.1M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 22%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets." Prediction market snapshot: YES 22%, NO 78%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1606805