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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5
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Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

85%YES
16%NO

Volume 24h

$146K

Liquidity

$400

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-42.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

43% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Mar 23, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

85%

Mar 22, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

0%

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: -94.6pp

95% → 0%

Mar 23, 2026

Peak probability

95% YES — highest in period

Mar 22, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 85%99%
Buy YES@ 85¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly3.2%
½ Kelly1.6%
Buy NO@ 16¢

-3.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 3.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5" at 85% YES / 15% NO. In the last 24 hours, $146K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 85%, NO 15%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1677949