Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Closes May 31, 2026
⬡ Cross-venue entityPolymarket Price
Volume 24h
$74K
Liquidity
$315K
Bid / Ask
27% / 28%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
28%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2025
10 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
19% YES
Feb 22, 2026
Biggest move: +10.0pp
17% → 27%
Feb 28, 2026
Peak probability
28% YES — highest in period
Mar 1, 2026
Current
28% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Mar 24, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.8%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $74K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/566140
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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