Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Closes May 31, 2026
⬡ Cross-venue entityPolymarket Price
Volume 24h
$27K
Liquidity
$386K
Bid / Ask
16% / 17%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
17%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2025
9 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
11% YES
Feb 21, 2026
Peak probability
18% YES — highest in period
Mar 21, 2026
Current
17% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?" at 17% YES / 83% NO. In the last 24 hours, $27K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 17%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 17%, NO 83%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/566138
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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