Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?
Closes April 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$44K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
20% / 21%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
15%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?" at 15% YES / 85% NO. In the last 24 hours, $44K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 15%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 15%, NO 85%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786325
This event has 39 active outcome markets. December 31, 2026: 62%, Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?: 35%, Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 31?: 22%.
Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
67% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
27%
Mar 30, 2026
Biggest move: -29.5pp
56% → 27%
Mar 30, 2026
Current
15% YES (-4.5pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this