Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 16-22?
Closes March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$19K
Liquidity
$16K
Bid / Ask
3% / 5%
Spread
2.10pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
March
20 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
6% YES
Mar 16, 2026
Biggest move: +6.5pp
8% → 14%
Mar 19, 2026
Peak probability
14% YES — highest in period
Mar 19, 2026
Current
3% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-9.1%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 16-22?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $19K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 2.10 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 16-22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1603595
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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