Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 16-22?
Closed March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$59K
Liquidity
$23K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?
March
21 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
5% YES
Mar 16, 2026
Biggest move: -6.1pp
11% → 5%
Mar 19, 2026
Peak probability
15% YES — highest in period
Mar 19, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-13.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 16-22?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $59K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 16-22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1603564
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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