Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Closes December 19, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5
Liquidity
$32K
Bid / Ask
4% / 5%
Spread
0.40pp
Expert Signal
5%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?
2026
8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Mar 11, 2026
Current
4% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Mar 18, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-8.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on December 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1349147
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Entity Hub
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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