Markets/Will Solana reach $110 in March?

Will Solana reach $110 in March?

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 09:05 AM UTC

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

6%YES

94%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$27K

Bid / Ask

7% / 8%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-18.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Mar 1, 2026

Trough probability

12% YES — lowest in period

Mar 8, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

25%

Mar 1, 2026

Biggest move: -28.0pp

50% → 22%

Mar 1, 2026

Current

32% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 17, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 6%99%

Buy YES@ 6¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 94¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Solana reach $110 in March?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Solana reach $110 in March?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1473198