Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Closes June 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$169K
Bid / Ask
14% / 14%
Spread
0.30pp
Expert Signal
14%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
2026
31 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
15% YES
Mar 1, 2026
Current
14% YES (+0.1pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/553830
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
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