Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?

2026

Consensus Probability

52%

Weak37%

Polymarket33% avg · 20 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

Venue	Market	YES	Volume	Role
Polymarket	Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?	100%	$1.7M	standalone
Polymarket	Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?	17%	$893K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Romania win on 2026-03-26?	0%	$475K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?	67%	$431K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?	69%	$386K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?	10%	$348K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Denmark win on 2026-03-26?	76%	$320K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Slovakia win on 2026-03-26?	69%	$314K	standalone
Polymarket	Will France win on 2026-03-26?	43%	$268K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?	56%	$244K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?	24%	$241K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-03-26?	6%	$226K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26?	0%	$124K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Wales win on 2026-03-26?	47%	$121K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Brazil win on 2026-03-26?	16%	$105K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-26?	15%	$91K	standalone
Polymarket	Will North Macedonia win on 2026-03-26?	6%	$54K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Albania win on 2026-03-26?	42%	$53K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Israel win on 2026-03-26?	0%	$48K	standalone
Polymarket	Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-26?	8%	$29K	standalone

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