Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-26?
Closed March 26, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$122K
Liquidity
$2K
Bid / Ask
15% / 16%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
16%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?
2026
20 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-9.1%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-26?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $122K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-26?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1455219
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Venue Divergence
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