Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Slovakia win on 2026-03-26?
Closed March 26, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$314K
Liquidity
$16K
Bid / Ask
68% / 69%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
69%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?
2026
20 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Slovakia win on 2026-03-26?" at 69% YES / 31% NO. In the last 24 hours, $314K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 69%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Will Slovakia win on 2026-03-26?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 69%, NO 31%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1455223
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