No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s…
April 2026
Consensus Probability
39%
Weak11%
Polymarket34% avg · 3 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Outcome Breakdown
No Change19%
Implied total (sum of outcomes)19%
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting? | 81% | $3K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting? | 1% | $3K | standalone |
| Polymarket | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?(No Change) | 19% | $2K | child |