ForecastMind

Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential…

2026

Consensus Probability

7%
Weak5%
Polymarket4% avg · 26 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

VenueMarketYESVolumeRole
PolymarketWill Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?1%$10Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?16%$10Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?3%$8Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?2%$7Kstandalone
PolymarketWill José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$7Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?40%$6Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?1%$5Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?12%$4Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$4Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?3%$3Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?16%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?1%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?6%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$972standalone
PolymarketWill Marisol Pérez Tello finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?2%$784standalone
PolymarketWill Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$557standalone
PolymarketWill Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$469standalone
PolymarketWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?1%$307standalone
PolymarketWill Marisol Pérez Tello finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?6%$306standalone
PolymarketWill George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$303standalone
PolymarketWill Marisol Pérez Tello finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?1%$143standalone